Exchange Rate Volatility, Trade, and Capital Flows under Alternative Exchange Rate Regimes (Japan-US Center UFJ Bank Monographs on International Financial Markets)
Cambridge University Press, 8/31/2000
EAN 9780521562942, ISBN10: 0521562945
Hardcover, 174 pages, 23.8 x 16 x 1.8 cm
Language: English
Recent years have seen a substantial increase in the volatility of exchange rates. This trend has prompted economists and finance analysts to question if the observed behaviour of exchange rates is consistent with a rational model. Does that volatility hinder trade? What are financial markets' effects on countries' investment decisions, and how would changes in fixed exchange rates affect growth and welfare? What are the requirements to make such changes feasible? Professors Sercu and Uppal examine these issues in the context of dynamic general equilibrium models, explicitly considering the role of financial markets while allowing for commodity markets to be segmented across countries. They show that the theoretical models for exchange rates in this context are quite different from those put forth by monetary theorists and proponents of purchasing power parity arguments.
Acknowledgements
Guide to notation
1. Introduction and overview
2. Modeling exchange rates
a survey of the literature
3. A simple general-equilibrium model of an international economy
4. The spot exchange rate in a large class of general-equilibrium models
5. Forward exchange rates in a model with segmented goods markets
6. International trade flows, exchange rate volatility and welfare
7. International capital flows and welfare
8. Tariff policy with international financial markets
9. Endogenous monetary policy and the choice of exchange rate regime
10. Concluding thoughts
References
Author index
Subject index.