Natural Gas and Geopolitics: From 1970 to 2040

Cambridge University Press
Edition: Illustrated, 6/29/2006
EAN 9780521865036, ISBN10: 0521865034

Hardcover, 536 pages, 23.4 x 15.6 x 3 cm
Language: English

By most estimates, global consumption of natural gas - a cleaner-burning alternative to coal and oil - will double by 2030. However, in North America, Europe, China, and South and East Asia, which are the areas of highest-expected demand, the projected consumption of gas is expected to far outstrip indigenous supplies. Delivering gas from the world's major reserves to the future demand centres will require a major expansion of inter-regional, cross-border gas transport infrastructures. This book investigates the implications of this shift, utilizing historical case studies as well as advanced economic modelling to examine the interplay between economic and political factors in the development of natural gas resources. The contributors aim to shed light on the political challenges which may accompany a shift to a gas-fed world.

List of figures
List of tables
List of boxes
List of contributors
Foreword James A. Baker III
Acknowledgements
List of acronyms and abbreviations
Part I. Introduction and Context
1. Introduction to the study Joe Barnes, Mark H. Hayes, Amy M. Jaffe and David G. Victor
Part II. Historical Case Studies
2. Introduction to the historical case studies
research questions, methods and case selection Mark H. Hayes and David G. Victor
3. The Transmed and Maghreb projects
gas to Europe from North Africa Mark H. Hayes
4. Liquefied natural gas from Indonesia
the Arun project Fred von der Mehden and Steven W. Lewis
5. Bypassing Ukraine
exporting Russian gas to Poland and Germany Nadejda M. Victor and David G. Victor
6. Natural gas pipelines in the Southern Cone David R. Mares
7. International gas trade in Central Asia
Turkmenistan, Iran, Russia and Afghanistan Martha Brill Olcott
8. Liquefied natural gas from Qatar
the Qatargas project Kohei Hashimoto, Jareer Elass and Stacy L. Eller
9. Liquefied natural gas from Trinidad & Tobago
the Atlantic LNG project Rob Shepherd and James Ball
10. Politics, markets and the shift to gas
insights from the seven historical case studies Mark H. Hayes and David G. Victor
Part III. International Gas Trade Economics
11. The Baker Institute World Gas Trade Model Peter Hartley and Kenneth B. Medlock III
12. Political and economic influences on the future world market for natural gas Peter Hartley and Kenneth B. Medlock III
13. Market structure in the new gas economy
is cartelization possible? Amy M. Jaffe and Ronald Soligo
Part IV. Implications
14. Conclusions Amy M. Jaffe, Mark H. Hayes and David G. Victor
Appendix
technical notes Nadejda M. Victor
Index.