Thinking and Deciding
Cambridge University Press
Edition: 4th edition, 12/20/2007
EAN 9780521680431, ISBN10: 0521680433
Paperback, 600 pages, 22.8 x 15.2 x 3 cm
Language: English
Beginning with its first edition and through subsequent editions, Thinking and Deciding has established itself as the required text and important reference work for students and scholars of human cognition and rationality. In this fourth edition, first published in 2007, Jonathan Baron retains the comprehensive attention to the key questions addressed in the previous editions - how should we think? What, if anything, keeps us from thinking that way? How can we improve our thinking and decision making? - and his expanded treatment of topics such as risk, utilitarianism, Baye's theorem, and moral thinking. With the student in mind, the fourth edition emphasises the development of an understanding of the fundamental concepts in judgement and decision making. This book is essential reading for students and scholars in judgement and decision making and related fields, including psychology, economics, law, medicine, and business.
Preface
Part I. Thinking in General
1. What is thinking?
2. The study of thinking
3. Rationality
4. Logic
Part II. Probability and Belief
5. Normative theory of probability
6. Descriptive theory of probability judgment
7. Hypothesis testing
8. Judgment of correlation and contingency
9. Actively open-minded thinking
Part III. Decisions and Plans
10. Normative theory of choice
11. Description of choice under uncertainty
12. Choice under certainty
13. Utility measurement
14. Decision analysis and values
15. Quantitative judgment
16. Moral judgement and choice
17. Fairness and justice
18. Social dilemmas
19. Decisions about the future
20. Risk.
'This magisterial book ... lays out the issues in exemplary fashion ... This book is as balanced and clear as one is likely to find. It is an outstanding introduction to and summary of the psychology of decision making and should be widely read.' Medical Decision Making